![]() ![]() Prescott looks a decent bet, because that Cowboys defense was horrendous last year and he gets a few tasty matchups. I'm really not sure who my actual favorite would be. I would have considered him if he was still in Detroit, and I've touted him a few times in these columns, but I don't think he's good value in Los Angeles. ![]() you're not going with Matthew Stafford, are you?Īndrew: Stafford won't need to drag the Rams anywhere. I am taking Mahomes he's the only player our KUBIAK projections have cresting the 5,000-yard mark, but your argument is at the very least intriguing. We're not looking for the best quarterback on the best team in the league we're looking for somebody who'll be dragging the franchise on his back, and that's not quite what I expect from the Chiefs.īryan: I very much endorse this policy of overthinking things, and am curious as to who you do have as your favorite to lead the league. This isn't Peyton Manning and the 2013 Broncos anymore. But Brees led the league in a playoff-less 7-9 season featuring one of the worst defenses in league history Brady's 4,577 yards in 2017 were the lowest total to lead the league since 2006 Roethlisberger was hauling a less-than-stellar Steelers team to 9-6-1 and the past two leaders have come in the form of a 7-9 season from Jameis Winston and a 4-12 season from Deshaun Watson. Sure, from 2016 to 2018 the league leaders in this category were three of the best quarterbacks in recent football history (Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger). Mahomes would, in fact, not be my pick here, and I don't think he's good value at all at +350. There's a wee interesting trend here, however, that I think is worth mentioning specifically in this category. well, not first, but you're probably still riding high from picking Mahomes in a bunch of these categories back in 2018, his first season as a starter.Īndrew: That's true, and I'd like to thank you for reminding our audience of that, saving me the trouble. Player Stat Propsīryan: And now, what will be a ritual for the rest of the decade: opening up this article by mentioning that Patrick Mahomes is very good at his job.īryan: Actually, you kind of did hear it here. These specific odds all come from either Draft Kings or Bovada, and were all correct as of time of writing. And our third is our favorite longshot, someone with long odds that we think could well end up surprising people, if the chips fall the right way.Įditors' Note: These lines fluctuate quite regularly, and can differ from site to site. ![]() The second is the player we think is the best bet-the best value for your money. The first is the player we think is most likely to win the category, regardless of the odds given. ![]() Bryan) will link you to the full list so that you can confirm the craziness.īryan: As a reminder, for each prop, we're picking three players. Rest assured, if we pick some ludicrous longshot (Marquez Callaway to lead the league in receiving touchdowns!), we (a.k.a. At +50000, the betting sides will be happy to give you that bet, and equally happy to take your money when it's all over.Īndrew: For purposes of Vince's sanity and your page load times, we're restricting the tables in the nuttiest categories to roughly the top 20 or so names. Why is Patrick Mahomes, a quarterback who has never had more than two rushing touchdowns in a single regular season, an individual option to lead the league in rushing touchdowns, and not just categorized under "the field?"īryan: Think of the story you'll have with that betting ticket! The story of, uh, ripping it up almost immediately now that you have thrown your money down the drain. Of course, the fact that we can pick from 100 options on some of these props is itself A) ridiculous and B) more evidence of why the house always wins. This column does not constitute financial advice. If you thought we were bad at picking between one of two options, wait until we have 100 to choose from! We've been so successful at this historically that we're back doing it again, as opposed to sitting on a massive pile of our gambling winnings.Īndrew: If you're looking to us for actual NFL betting advice, you might want to check our Lock of the Week records over the past five years before you go any further. Instead of picking the Chiefs to be really good and the Jets to be really bad, it's time to pick Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Derrick Henry to pile up the most rushing yards, and Adam Gase to be the first coach fi-wait, Gase isn't a head coach anymore? Well that complicates things.īryan: That's right, we're moving from team odds to individual player odds. Andrew: Hello and welcome once again to Scramble for the Ball, where we resume normal scheduling with our traditional feature-length look at the odds we haven't already covered in our team-by-team over/under columns. ![]()
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